TRAX
How It Works
Understanding the scoring systems, badges, and recommendations
🎯 TRAX ScoreFinal Score
The TRAX Score is the final composite score (0-100) that determines our recommendation tier. Higher = better.
TRAX Score = (Brett Score × 40%) + (Composite × 60%)
75+
STRONG
55-74
CONSIDER
<55
PASS
📊 Brett Score (Speed Figure Analysis)40% of TRAX
Based on Brett's handicapping method: analyze speed figures to find horses trending in the right direction or bouncing back to their best.
Brett's Philosophy:
“Lower the number is better. Find a horse trending in the right direction or catch one with a pattern to get back to their best number.”
How It's Calculated:
- Raw Figure: Most recent speed figure from past performances
- Trend: Compare last 2 races vs previous 3 races
- Bounce Detection: Had a good figure before, dipped, showing signs of return
Indicators:
🏃 Fast Figure (≤16)↗️ Improving Trend🔄 Bounce Candidate
⚙️ System Scores60% of TRAX (via Composite)
SPEED Score
Based on jockey performance
- Base: Jockey win % (12% avg, 20%+ elite)
- Bonus: ROI ≥1.5 (+10pts), ROI ≥1.2 (+5pts)
- Experience bonus: 500+ starts (+5pts)
FORM Score
Based on trainer performance
- Base: Trainer win % (15% avg, 25%+ elite)
- ITM bonus: Higher ITM% = more consistent
- Volume bonus: 1000+ starts with 15%+ win rate
PACE Score
Based on weight assignment
- 118 lbs is typical baseline
- Lighter weight = potential pace advantage
- Range: 40-80 based on weight
COMPOSITE Score
Composite = (SPEED × 1.2) + (FORM × 1.0) + (PACE × 0.5) / total_weight
Speed is weighted highest as it reflects finishing ability
🏅 Handicapping Badges
Badges highlight specific edges that may not be fully captured in the scores:
🔥
Hot Jockey
Win rate ≥15% (last 12 months)
⭐
Elite Trainer
Win rate ≥18%
✓
High ITM
In-the-money rate ≥40%
🪶
Light Weight
Carrying <118 lbs
🏃
Fast Figure
Speed figure ≤16
↗️
Improving
Speed figures trending down (faster)
🔄
Bounce Candidate
Had good figure, dipped, showing return
🎖️ Recommendation Tiers
The final tier is determined by TRAX Score plus edge count:
STRONG
TRAX ≥75 OR (TRAX ≥65 AND 2+ edges)
Top tier pick - multiple factors align
CONSIDER
TRAX ≥55 OR 1+ edge
Worth considering - has positive factors
PASS
TRAX <55 AND no edges
Below threshold - limited support
📋 Data Sources
- ✓Trainer/Jockey Stats: Extracted from DRF program data
- ✓Speed Figures: From past performance lines in DRF
- ✓Weight/Post: Official race day assignments
- ✓Past Performances: Last 5-10 races per horse
TRAX is a handicapping aid, not financial advice.
Always gamble responsibly.